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Senate President Ahmed Lawan

•‘No compelling reason to take more loans’
•Focus on creating enabling environment, economists urge

Despite public concerns about Nigeria’s rising debts, the Senate yesterday approved fresh external loans of $1.5 billion and €995 million for the Federal Government.

The loans were approved by the lawmakers after considering and adopting the report of the Senate Committee on Local and Foreign Debts, chaired by Senator Clifford Ordia (Edo Central). This is in spite of inflation being at 18.17%, a record high in four years.

The loans were part of the external borrowings President Muhammadu Buhari had requested in May 2020, for the Red Chamber to approve for financing various priority projects of the Federal Government and to support the state governments facing fiscal challenges.

The loan approval came as experts continue to express worry over the country’s rising debt profile, which is said to have made the country’s fiscal position increasingly fragile.

Ordia, while presenting the report, said $1.5 billion will be sourced from the World Bank to finance critical infrastructure in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic across the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT).

The projects, according to Ordia, are States Fiscal Transparency, Accountability, and Sustainability programme to provide financial support to states (SFTAS) and COVID-19 action recovery and economic stimulus programme to support state-level efforts to protect livelihoods, ensure food security and stimulate economic activity.

The €995 million to be sourced from the Export-Import Bank of Brazil is to finance the Federal Government’s Green Imperative Project to enhance mechanisation of agriculture and agro process in Nigeria to improve food security.

This is coming a week after Edo State Governor, Godwin Obaseki, raised concerns about the country’s rising public debts. According to the Debt Management Office (DMO), Nigeria’s total public debt as of December 31, 2020, was N32.915 trillion, representing a 20.13% rise from N27.40 trillion recorded in December 2019.

To put it in context, 85 kobo out of every naira Nigeria earned last year was spent servicing loans. The increase in the country’s total debt stock was mainly due to a 40.82% rise in external debt to N12.71 trillion as of December 2020, from N9.02 trillion in December 2019.

Besides, the DMO revealed that the country would convert the Federal Government’s overdrafts with the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to a 30-year debt. The amount is estimated at N10 trillion.

Ordia noted that the borrowings were largely concessional loans with low-interest rates and a reasonable moratorium and payback period.

He said: “The Committee most importantly notes that the indicative terms and conditions under which the loan will be borrowed, have no unusual or onerous conditions attached and the terms do not in any manner compromise the sustainability of the Nigerian economy or impugn the integrity and independence of Nigeria as a sovereign nation.

He noted that while Nigeria’s Total Public Debt Stock is on the increase, it is still relatively low vis-à-vis the country’s GDP, and “the increased borrowing requirements is needed to sustain the economic recovery.”

The Nigerian economy is in dire straits. Oil price has hit over $60 per barrel, but the country is expanding its market gains on petrol subsidy, which gulps N120 billion every month.

A political economist, Prof. Pat Utomi, said Nigeria is confronted with the issue of limited capital and has to resort to foreign debt to augment domestic savings.

He said this in reaction to the approval granted by the Senate yesterday, pointing out that the problem with the nation’s borrowing is that proceeds are not deployed in areas where it can generate revenue for repayment.

“It is good to diversify and the area that would provide the needed diversification base is agriculture. There is nothing problematic in borrowing to invest in expanding agriculture and generating more output to provide value addition for export but the key issue is to ensure that this happens.

“We have a political culture of elites waiting to extract money and get their share and you hear the farmers saying they did not see any money.”

He said there should be a passionate commitment to ensuring that the loan gets to entrepreneurs who are ready to grow the value chain to create enough output to pay off what has been borrowed. The tragedy is when borrowed without any output that would yield revenue to amortize what was borrowed.

Uche Uwaleke, a professor of capital market at Nasarawa State University Keffi, said the loan is a good step in the right direction if it is part of what is already provided for in the 2021 budget. “Recall that the current year’s budget has a deficit of over N5 trillion to be financed largely by domestic and foreign loans. I think the approval by the Senate aligns with the procedure for taking foreign loans.”

Uwaleke said the concern should be more on the source and terms of the loan as well as the use to which it is put. According to him, the decision to deploy the loan to agric mechanisation and infrastructure development is comforting due to its positive multiplier effect on the economy.

He stressed the need for the National Assembly to monitor the disbursement and application to ensure that it is used for the purpose for which it is meant. “It is okay if it is part of what is already provided for in the 2021 budget. I think the approval by the Senate aligns with the procedure for taking foreign loans. “Having approved such foreign loans, it behooves the National Assembly to monitor its disbursement and application to ensure that it is used for the purpose for which it is meant,” he said.

The Chief Executive Officer of Cowry Asset Management Limited, Johnson Chukwu, argued that there is no compelling reason for the government to borrow for agriculture mechanisation and infrastructure development, stating that private sector commercial farmers are ready to mechanise their farms at no cost with the appropriate incentives.

He pointed out that government should focus on providing such quality education, health care, security, and other social amenities with the resources at its disposal.

Besides, he said creating the right environment for the private sector to engage in businesses such as agriculture, industries, and transportation among others would generate more revenue, create wealth and reduce the rising debt profile.

“My take is that government should focus on providing social services such as education, health care, security, among others with the resources at its disposal while creating the right environment for the private sector to engage in businesses such as agriculture, industries, and transportation.

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